Post from: Online Hobby Shop
A Few More Sites On hobby build
Friday, November 5, 2010
A Few More Sites On hobby build
“Your book is great! I was interviewing Suzie at Salem Farms (profiled in the book) and she mentioned your book so I got a copy and loved it. You have a very conversational writing style and, as someone who owned a business for 15 years, your advice is right on target–very realistic.”- Going-Local blogger, Victoria ...
Baby Goats 2
More of our baby goats on our hobby farm.
Ranked 2.58 / 5 | 377 views | 0 comments
Click here to watch the video (00:14)
Submitted By: GhengisKhan
Tags:Goats?Farms?Ranch?Colorado?
Categories: Pets & Animals
By: Andrew
Hobby will handle the kicking duties. Freshman Shawn Powell will punt. He was impressive in the spring and averaged 51 yards per punt as a senior in high school.
Arizona Horse Property for Sale Irrigated 2 Acres Phoenix Horse Farm Glendale Horse Properties for Sale
Arizona Horse Property 4 sale Horse Ranch 2 Acres West Phoenix Glendale Arizona Irrigated $480K.http://www.manegaitfarms.com/horse_property.html1794 sq. ft 3 Bdrm 1 3/4 Ba 6 Stall Block Barn Grass Pasture 40+ Shade Trees Horse Properties Hobby Farm Neighborhood FSBO Owner Agent Pictures VideoEquestrian Real Estate in the heart of a big city, within 5 miles of SuperWalMart, Home Depot, Shopping Centers, Major Freeways in all directions.Approx. 1794 sq. ft.Irrigated Horse Property Almost 2 Full Acres, 79,066 sq. ft. Family Room, Fireplace 2 Car Garage RV Parking Side Entry Floor Safe Thermal Pane Windows Refrig & Evap Cooling New Exterior Paint Completely Fenced Farm 40+ Mature Shade Trees Ceiling Fans Throughout Extra Attic Insulation Wired for Surround Sound 6 Stall Block Barn3 Stallion Stalls, 3 Foaling Stalls Tack Room, Feed Room Automatic Waterers Overhead Storage in Barn 5 Stall Shed Row East of Barn Wash Rack, Hitching Post Pad for 50' Round Pen 10 x 12 Tuff Shed 10 x 29 Fenced Garden Pasture & Yard Sprinklers New Sewer & Water Mains New 200 Amp Electric Panelhttp://www.manegaitfarms.com/horse_property.htmlCall locally (602) 908-8393or Toll-Free (877) 448-2424 to see by appointment.
Ranked 2.75 / 5 | 2022 views | 0 comments
Click here to watch the video (07:59)
Submitted By: manegait
Tags:Horse Property?Properties?Sale?Hobby Farm?West?Phoenix?Glendale?Arizona?Acres?Acreage?Equestrian?Ranch?Ranches?
Categories: Pets & Animals
3427 Vermontville Hwy., Charlotte, Michigan 48813
Contact Mary Jo Mclane at 517-281-0098 - MORE THAN MEETS THE EYE... DON'T MISS OUT ON THIS OPPORTUNITY TO OWN YOUR OWN HOBBY FARM WITH 2 LARGE BARNS, CHICKEN COOPS, FENCED PASTURE, JUST UNDER 3 ACRES. COMPLETE WITH BEAUTIFUL VIEWS OF THE COUNTRY SIDE. THIS HOME FEATURES 2,000 SQ FT, 4 + BEDROOMS, 3 FULL BATHS, OPEN FLOOR PLAN. NEWLY ADDED SUNKEN GREAT ROOM WITH CATHEDRAL CEILING. LARGE KITCHEN WITH WALK-IN PANTRY. CORN & WOODBURNING STOVES, DESIRABLE LOCATION ON A PAVED ROAD IN CHARLOTTE SCHOOLS
Ranked 2.80 / 5 | 15 views | 0 comments
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Submitted By: cavescom
Tags:
Categories: Other
3835 W. Plymouth Church Rd., Rock, Wisconsin
Contact Cindy Wright at 608-295-1004 - If Country Living is your dream then this is it. This 9.9 Acre Hobby Farm has fenced pasture, plenty of room in the barn, a huge machine shed for storage & a 2-car garage. Take a stroll in your own 3.3 Acres of Hardwoods & enjoy the sights & sounds of nature. House is in fantastic condition with 6-panel doors, cherry cabinets & high end appliances. Updates incl baths, electric, plumbing, floors. Septic 2003, well pump/pressure tank 2008, roof 1998, outbuilding roofs 2006. UHP Incl - Beautiful Property!
Ranked 3.04 / 5 | 94 views | 0 comments
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Submitted By: cavescom
Tags:Rock Wisconsin?Home For Sale?Real Estate?Virtual Tour?
Categories: Entertainment
Thursday, November 4, 2010
Baby Goats 3
These are our baby goats on our hobby farm in Colorado. They are for sale!
Ranked 2.28 / 5 | 588 views | 0 comments
Click here to watch the video (00:24)
Submitted By: GhengisKhan
Tags:Goats?Colorado?Ranch?Farms?
Categories: Pets & Animals
Baby Goats 1
These are baby goats on our hobby farm in Colorado.
Ranked 2.40 / 5 | 600 views | 1 comments
Click here to watch the video (00:12)
Submitted By: GhengisKhan
Tags:Goats?Farms?Ranch?Colorado?
Categories: Pets & Animals
Saturday, October 30, 2010
best hobby Free Useful Tip
This will not work with a Mac at all unless you get another operating system.Help answer the question about best hobby Does anyone know who is the best RC Hobby supplier to buy wholesale best hobby from with no minimum purchase? I found some in China, but I am a little leary of delivery time. ...
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Monday, October 25, 2010
Census Bureau reports Nation is almost 350 000 less Nonemployer Business locations
All but two States — Texas and Louisiana, of the one part, and the District of Columbia — saw nonemployer businesses between 2007 and 2008, the number has decreased. The nation was 21.4 million nonemployer businesses 2008 ending 350,000 2007 (1.6%), THE U.S. Census Bureau announced today.
Nonemployer businesses have paid employees, an annual business receipts for a period of at least 1 000 ($ 1 or more of the construction sectors) and subject to federal income taxes. 50 Counties nonemployer establishments, the largest number of Wayne County, Mich. among — home of the Detroit — led the nation nonemployer establishments increased by 6.8% for the years 2007-2008, followed by the Harris County, Texas — Houston home — 5.6% growth and Miami Dade County, Fla., 3% increase.(See table 2 Excel | PDF).
These figures are from statistics: 2008, Nonemployer businesses without paid employees shall be classified on the basis of an annual report to the nearly 300 of the nation, States, regions and metropolitan areas in sectors of the economy.
Nonemployer businesses in all of Us "companies, for the Hello Kitty Car Accessories most part, still on average less than 4% of all revenue. Many of these are independent persons, whose companies may or may not be the primary source of revenue, "said c. Harvey Monk Jr., close to the Director of the economic programmes of the U.S. Census Bureau. "This is available for additional information on the establishments and the number of receipts at the local level, as a result of these companies and industries, they contain only source."
Maine was the largest decrease in the amount of the invoice in installations for the manufacture of 4,2% for the period 2007-2008, a decrease of 3.8%, followed by the Delaware and Nevada fell by 3.7%.(See table 1, Excel |PDF).
Nursing care facilities, and residential buildings, the industry reported growth of 8.9% nonemployer in 2008, This accounted for approximately 5 000 other establishments nationwide. United States, which more than 2.1 billion dollars in revenue, an average of more than 35,000 $ location shall be informed of this industry was 60,322 nonemployer businesses. Miami-Dade County, Fla. (3,434), Los Angeles County, Calif. (3,022) and Broward County, Fla. (1-500) was the most nonemployer Nursing and residential care facilities.
Real and intermediaries industry offices reported a decrease in the number of companies nonemployer noticeable in 2008 with the establishments shall be informed, invoice 700,275 11,4% from the previous year, the size of the United States. [1] [2], receipts decreased by EUR 6.5 billion dollars.
Other highlights:
California (2.7 million), Texas (1.8 million) and Florida (1.6 million), was in most of the companies making up the nationwide nonemployer almost 29% of all nonemployers.Receptions for nonemployer businesses in these same States, one almost 302 billion dollars, which was 31% of the total value of all the receipts for nonemployer businesses Nationally, some of the industries. [1] [2], that continuously grow in 2008 was the hair, Nail and skin care services (6.5%), education (4.4%), and full service restaurants (4,3%) of the furniture store industry decreased the number of companies in the year 2008 nonemployer 16,399 nonemployer establishments with the announced, invoice 8.1% from the previous year.Throughout the United States, decreased by $ 113 million in receipts. industry in North Carolina, nonemployer furniture stores declined by about 4 million dollars at the same time, the receipts from the previous year, revenue increased due to the fact that the Arizona saves more than 3 million dollars, according to the previous year.This set covers 18.8 million sole proprietorships, 1.5 million companies and 1.1 million partnerships, which together constitute the number of undertakings nonemployer Statistics are left undertakings Nonemployer. [1] [2], who have paid employees; these data are included in the County Business patterns, which are updated at the end of July 2010.
Nonemployer Statistics come from the Internal Revenue Service tax return data for specific information about this update in the nonsampling error., such as self-classification of tax forms, as well as industry errors in the errors of the answer, and coverage of nonreporting. values of each company are slightly changed by the form of order sought by the defendant in order to preserve the confidentiality of information about the methods and data. [1] [2] restrictions is available in theSunday, October 24, 2010
Census Bureau reports Nation is almost 350 000 less Nonemployer Business locations
All but two States — Texas and Louisiana, of the one part, and the District of Columbia — saw nonemployer businesses between 2007 and 2008, the number has decreased. The nation was 21.4 million nonemployer businesses 2008 ending 350,000 2007 (1.6%), THE U.S. Census Bureau announced today.
Nonemployer businesses have paid employees, an annual business receipts for a period of at least 1 000 ($ 1 or more of the construction sectors) and subject to federal income taxes. 50 Counties nonemployer establishments, the largest number of Wayne County, Mich. among — home of the Detroit — led the nation nonemployer establishments increased by 6.8% for the years 2007-2008, followed by the Harris County, Texas — Houston home — 5.6% growth and Miami Dade County, Fla., 3% increase.(See table 2 Excel | PDF).
These figures are from statistics: 2008, Nonemployer Pink Car Mats businesses without paid employees shall be classified on the basis of an annual report to the nearly 300 of the nation, States, regions and metropolitan areas in sectors of the economy.
Nonemployer businesses in all of Us "companies, for the most part, still on average less than 4% of all revenue. Many of these are independent persons, whose companies may or may not be the primary source of revenue, "said c. Harvey Monk Jr., close to the Director of the economic programmes of the U.S. Census Bureau. "This is available for additional information on the establishments and the number of receipts at the local level, as a result of these companies and industries, they contain only source."
Maine was the largest decrease in the amount of the invoice in installations for the manufacture of 4,2% for the period 2007-2008, a decrease of 3.8%, followed by the Delaware and Nevada fell by 3.7%.(See table 1, Excel |PDF).
Nursing care facilities, and residential buildings, the industry reported growth of 8.9% nonemployer in 2008, This accounted for approximately 5 000 other establishments nationwide. United States, which more than 2.1 billion dollars in revenue, an average of more than 35,000 $ location shall be informed of this industry was 60,322 nonemployer businesses. Miami-Dade County, Fla. (3,434), Los Angeles County, Calif. (3,022) and Broward County, Fla. (1-500) was the most nonemployer Nursing and residential care facilities.
Real and intermediaries industry offices reported a decrease in the number of companies nonemployer noticeable in 2008 with the establishments shall be informed, invoice 700,275 11,4% from the previous year, the size of the United States. [1] [2], receipts decreased by EUR 6.5 billion dollars.
Other highlights:
California (2.7 million), Texas (1.8 million) and Florida (1.6 million), was in most of the companies making up the nationwide nonemployer almost 29% of all nonemployers.Receptions for nonemployer businesses in these same States, one almost 302 billion dollars, which was 31% of the total value of all the receipts for nonemployer businesses Nationally, some of the industries. [1] [2], that continuously grow in 2008 was the hair, Nail and skin care services (6.5%), education (4.4%), and full service restaurants (4,3%) of the furniture store industry decreased the number of companies in the year 2008 nonemployer 16,399 nonemployer establishments with the announced, invoice 8.1% from the previous year.Throughout the United States, decreased by $ 113 million in receipts. industry in North Carolina, nonemployer furniture stores declined by about 4 million dollars at the same time, the receipts from the previous year, revenue increased due to the fact that the Arizona saves more than 3 million dollars, according to the previous year.This set covers 18.8 million sole proprietorships, 1.5 million companies and 1.1 million partnerships, which together constitute the number of undertakings nonemployer Statistics are left undertakings Nonemployer. [1] [2], who have paid employees; these data are included in the County Business patterns, which are updated at the end of July 2010.
Nonemployer Statistics come from the Internal Revenue Service tax return data for specific information about this update in the nonsampling error., such as self-classification of tax forms, as well as industry errors in the errors of the answer, and coverage of nonreporting. values of each company are slightly changed by the form of order sought by the defendant in order to preserve the confidentiality of information about the methods and data. [1] [2] restrictions is available in thefirst hobby Free Interesting Guideline
It’s fine for putting shapes in and learning shapes and colors BUT the lid does not stay on. My one year old isn’t learning how to sort shapes but instead how to put things in and out of a box as the first thing he does is take the lid off. I wish I had ...
Post from: Online Hobby Shop
first hobby Free Interesting Guideline
Could Hobby Lobby Take Over Feed The Children?
The founders of Feed The Children say the family that owns Hobby Lobby is actively pursuing a "hostile takeover" of the organization.
First Steps in BORDER COLLIE SHEEPDOG TRAINING - Teach a Herding Stock Dog to Round Up Sheep
Info: http://www.herding-dog-training-border-collie-sheepdog-dvd.com/This is a preview of our brand new 2xDVD sheepdog training program First Steps in Border Collie Sheepdog Training - a training DVD for beginners which shows you how you can start to train a dog for farm, trials or ranch working with the absolute minimum help from other people.If you are interested in training a dog to work sheep, a smallholder, potential sheepdog trialler, hobby sheep keeper, smallholder, farmer or even a budding sheep rancher this brand new 2xDVD set, clearly explains the natural instinct of the Border Collie Sheepdog and how (with patience, determination and simple preparation) it can easily be programmed to develop into a really useful working dog.The time honoured (and probably easiest) method of starting a young dog is to use an experienced dog to keep the sheep in the middle of the field. But this method's of no use to beginners who don't have an experienced dog (or access to one), so in First Steps in Border Collie Sheepdog Training the dogs are all trained WITHOUT THE USE OF AN EXPERIENCED DOG.
Ranked 4.43 / 5 | 411 views | 0 comments
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Submitted By: andynick01
Tags:Sheepdog?Training?DVD?Herding?Border?Collie?Stocks?Dogs?Start?Working?Demonstrations?Trailers?Sheep?Professional?Cute?Teach?
Categories: Pets & Animals
Saturday, October 23, 2010
Hobby Farm With 2 Residences For Sale Kelowna BC
2855 Dry Valley RoadKelowna, BC V1V 2K1MLS ID: 10010311Hobby Farm With 2 Residences For Sale Kelowna BCLocated across from the airport, ideal for fruit or hobby farm. Has 2 residences (one is a manufactured home). Large barn/shop with high clearance door and a triple car garage/shop. Fully irrigated with 415 apple trees. Includes 2 tractors, 1 mower, 1 sprayer. The second residence has 2 bedrooms, 1 bath. To view call Helmut Hubert 250 878 8010.Helmut HubertSales RepresentativeCentury21 Assurance Realty LTD.Main: 250-869-0101Cell: 250-878-8010Toll Free:1-888-301-2121helmut.hubert@century21.cahttp://www.helmuthubert.comhttp://www.century21.ca/Property/BC/V1V_2K1/Kelowna/Dry_Valley_Road/2855
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Submitted By: ltraffic7
Tags:Hobby?Farms?With?Residences?For Sale?Kelowna?
Categories: Entertainment
hobby ideas Review and News
I previously used Broderbund software for floorplan designs and it was both easy and fun to use. I bought a new computer with windows vista and had to replace the design software. I purchased Turbofloorplan Home Designer V12 because it seemed easy enough to work with. Well, it’s not! While the instructions are easy enough, ...
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Los Tres Mexicanos, Volumen I
In the beginning, the world was dull and grey, and then God said: we need entertainment.Los Tres Mexicanos showcasing thier daily lives and random stuff therein, them skating (yes, we know we suck, shut up), and thier personal lives.The stuff from school is just because we hate that place, and we make it more entertaining.The skating is (yes, terrible) but its a new hobby for us, and of course we suck: we've been doing it for like 3 weeks. So quit hating on us for it.And the "personal life"? Well, Sam just wanted to express his woe.Music:Queen of the Damned - KoRnLucky You - DeftonesDown With the Sickness - DisturbedSmooth Criminal - Alien Ant Farmpeace&love~Los Tres Mexicanos
Ranked 2.49 / 5 | 376 views | 0 comments
Click here to watch the video (10:26)
Submitted By: Los Tres Mexicanos
Tags:Los?Tres?Mexicanos?Random?Skating?Schools?Home?Lonley?Fun?White?Kids?Korn?Deftones?Al?
Categories: Other
Friday, October 22, 2010
Hobbies/Activities
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Hemel Hempstead RSPB Local Group
Hemel Hempstead Theatre Company
Hemel Hempstead Model Railway Society
Angel Fish Diving
The Boxmoor and District Angling Society
Berkhampstead and Hemel Hempstead Hockey Club
The Weekend Wanderers Detecting Club
Sambuka - Saba Percussion Band
Hertfordshire Orienteering Club
Hemel Hemsptead Bytomic Taekwondo
Bujinkan Dojo Hemel Hempstead - Bujinkan Budo Tai Jutso
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hobby company News
I regularly teach 4th trough 6th grade kids on Sundays where they expect to have some kind of craft to do each week, which is not easy to come up with every week. I have used several of the level 3 crafts from this book, which were well received by the kids. I think that ...
Post from: Online Hobby Shop
Thursday, October 21, 2010
Orangeville Real Estate - 635551 Hwy #10 Mono, Ontario
A real estate video tour featuring 635551 Highway #10 Mono, Ontario L0N1S5. This home features 3 Bedrooms, 2 Full Baths, a hobby farm and a barn with a finished studio. For more information or to schedule an appointment, contact Kevin Flaherty by phone at 1-877-Flaherty or by email at Kevin@Flaherty.ca. www.flaherty.ca
Ranked 4.46 / 5 | 191 views | 0 comments
Click here to watch the video (03:22)
Submitted By: AgentCasts
Tags:Kevin?Flaherty?Hobby?Farms?Mono?Ontario?Canada?Real Estate?Brampton?For Sale?Home?Orangeville?Video?
Categories: Travel & Outdoors
online hobby shop Research
I strongly disagree with the most negative review. I think they didn’t read the title of this book which makes it clear it is designed to take an existing business to the next level. I’m much more impressed by someone who can come up with out-of-the-box insights and ideas than someone who simply goes through ...
Post from: Online Hobby Shop
Wednesday, October 20, 2010
Omega Garden Hydroponic System
http://www.omegagarden.comWeather Network Interview. Enjoy fresh, locally produced high quality food all year round, anywhere you are, without leaving your residence, or picture yourself operating a successful commercial farm in the heart of the city!The Omega Garden? is a revolutionary rotary hydroponic system designed with convenience, simplicity, and maximum yield in mind. From the hobby gardener to the professional grower, all will find an Omega Garden? to suit their needs. www.omegagarden.com
Ranked 4.47 / 5 | 1349 views | 0 comments
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Submitted By: kungfuhola
Tags:Hydroponic?Grow?Gardening?Foods?Herbs?Lettuce?Sustainable?Agriculture?Growing?Omega?Gardens?Omegagarden?
Categories: News & Events
Metal Buildings Mississippi Call Michael or Bob at 601 212 5433
the step by step construction of a small metal building, 30x40 on the owners 'ready to go site'. Tricks of the trade exposed, along with the final product. Metal buildings for farms, barns, light commercial. We are masters of adaptation, as evidenced by this metal enclosure for Mr. Hearn in Pocohontas Miss. The building require framing that would accommodate the different widths in each bay , so that the width of the building started at 28 feet, with each bay progressively shorter by 2 feet. The final bay width is 20 feet. this required on the site modifications to the columns, and trusses so that the building itself 'appears' square. We are very proud of our work and it shows. If you need a quote on any metal building project in mIssissippi, then call us.We do any project that involves metal. ....metal roofing using either the standing seam or the conventional commercial panels. Farm buildings for tractors, equipment and tools. Storage sheds,for home gardeners, or just a shop to putz around working on your cars or hobby.These also make outstanding units for a home based business as wood working, ceramics and even paint studios. give us a call 601 212 5433 or 601 750 2274Metal building repairs also available
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Submitted By: 4birdiebob
Tags:Farms?Buildings?Metal?Roofing?Standing?Seam?Shops?Workshops?Garages?Cars?Enclosure?Rv?Airplanes?Hangars?Roof?Replacement?Copper?Stading?
Categories: Art & Animation
Wednesday, October 13, 2010
shop online hobby Free Useful Hint
This thing is worth buying for helicopter training to protect from damage. Downside is that it doesn’t fit well, so plan on temporarily strapping it on. As long as it’s on however you do it, you’re safer to practice flying than with without.Help answer the question about shop online hobby I got an RC buggy ...
Post from: Online Hobby Shop
shop online hobby Free Useful Hint
Review for hobby supplies
We use the Weller “Hobby Iron” for a variety of hobby and crafting applications, including plastic shaping and wax carving. This is a decent quality tool and the short barrel gives you more control for doing detailed work. This set comes with several tips for that can be used for specific tasks and I find ...
Post from: Online Hobby Shop
Tuesday, October 12, 2010
the hobby shop Significant Information
Print shop is easy to use, but, even with a 2 gHZ processor is much too slow to load.Help answer the question about the hobby shop Do hobby shops usually have the steering servo savers for the Stampede in stock?I just broke the servo saver the hobby shop (the white plastic thing between the front ...
Post from: Online Hobby Shop
the hobby shop Significant Information
Monday, October 11, 2010
car for under eye circles
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Storm Chasing 2009 - no lone highways
Storm chasing has grown in popularity as a hobby, scientific research, and now as a interesting part of Tornado Alley "tourism". Back when I first started storm chasing back in the mid 1980's, to see five or more storm chasing groups was a
Sports Fishing In Alaska ? Top Fishing Hotspots
Sport fishing buffs from around the world flock to Alaska which is popular for anglers. Instead of a hobby, sport fishing is an essential part of the life of an Alaskan resident, and many anglers fantasy is to travel to the north for this exclusive experience. All those who love the outdoor life ...
Top Design - Get to Know Matt Season: 1
Top Design Season: 1 Find out where Matt found inspiration when he couldn't find it on the farm.
Ranked 4.00 / 5 | 2 views | 0 comments
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Submitted By: Hulu
Tags:Matt?Lorens?Design?Competition?Interviews?Top?Designer?Chicago?Minnesota?Hobby Farm?Horses?Chickens?Reality And Game Shows?Top Design?
Categories: Entertainment
Vernon BC: Hobby Farm 2 Houses on 2 Acres
www.okanaganhome.caVery special little hobby farm with 3 bedroom 3 bath home and a 2 bedroom guest house. Bathrooms and kitchens recently renovated, beautiful bamboo hardwood and slate fireplace in main home. Fenced and shelter for horses, lean-to for wood and extra storage. Sunny, flat, 2 acres with several fruit trees and both municipal and well water available. Well worth a look on the inside to see craftsmanship in the recent renovations. All this only 10 minutes to Vernon and 8 minutes to Lumby. beth@century21executives.com
Ranked 3.30 / 5 | 92 views | 0 comments
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Submitted By: listingtraffic
Tags:Hobby?Farms?For Sale?Vernon?BC?Real Estate?
Categories: Entertainment
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Sunday, October 10, 2010
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Saturday, October 9, 2010
Budget and Economic Outlook: an update
[Reposted on August 19, 2010, to correct the 5- and 10-year totals for revenues and outlays in Summary Table 1 because of an error in addition.]
The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimates that the federal budget deficit for 2010 will exceed $1.3 trillion—$71 billion below last year's total and $27 billion lower than the amount that CBO projected in March 2010, when it issued its previous estimate. Relative to the size of the economy, this year's deficit is expected to be the second largest shortfall in the past 65 years: At 9.1 percent of gross domestic product (GDP), it is exceeded only by last year's deficit of 9.9 percent of GDP. As was the case last year, this year's deficit is attributable in large part to a combination of weak revenues and elevated spending associated with the economic downturn and the policies implemented in response to it.
This report presents CBO's updated budget and economic projections spanning the 2010–2020 period. Those projections reflect the assumption that current laws affecting the budget will remain unchanged—and thus the projections serve as a neutral benchmark that lawmakers can use to assess the potential effects of policy decisions. As such, CBO assumes that tax reductions enacted earlier in this decade that are currently set to expire at the end of this year do so as scheduled; it also assumes that no new legislation aimed at keeping the alternative minimum tax (AMT) from affecting many more taxpayers is enacted. In addition, CBO assumes that the measures enacted in the past two years to provide fiscal stimulus to the weakened economy will expire as currently scheduled and that future annual appropriations will be kept constant in real (inflation-adjusted) terms. Under those assumptions, the federal budget deficit would decline substantially over the next two years—to 4.2 percent of GDP by 2012—and, consequently, the budget would provide much less Betty Boop Checks support to the economy than has been the case for the past two years.
According to CBO's projections, the recovery from the economic downturn will continue at a modest pace during the next few years. Growth in the nation's output since the middle of calendar year 2009 has been anemic in comparison with that of previous recoveries following deep recessions, and the unemployment rate has remained quite high, averaging 9.7 percent in the first half of this year. Such weak growth tends to occur in recoveries from recessions spurred by financial crises. The considerable number of vacant houses and underused factories and offices will be a continuing drag on residential construction and business investment, and slow income growth as well as lost wealth will weigh on consumer spending.
All of those forces, along with the waning of federal fiscal support, will tend to restrain spending by individuals and businesses—and, therefore, economic growth—during the recovery. CBO projects that the economy will grow by only 2.0 percent from the fourth quarter of 2010 to the fourth quarter of 2011; even with faster growth in subsequent years, the unemployment rate will not fall to around 5 percent until the end of 2014.
In CBO's current-law projections, once the economy has recovered, the federal budget deficit amounts to between 2.5 percent and 3.0 percent of GDP from 2014 to 2020. Projected deficits total $6.2 trillion for the 10 years starting in 2011, raising federal debt held by the public to more than 69 percent of GDP by 2020, almost double the 36 percent of GDP observed at the end of 2007.
Those projections, which are similar in many respects to the ones that CBO prepared in March, reflect assumptions about revenues and spending that may significantly underestimate actual deficits. Because the projections presume no changes in current tax laws, they result in estimates of revenues that, as a percentage of GDP, would be quite high by historical standards. Because of the assumption that future annual appropriations are held constant in real terms, the projections yield estimates of discretionary spending relative to GDP that would be low by historical standards.
Of course, many other outcomes are possible. If, for example, the tax reductions enacted earlier in the decade were continued, the AMT was indexed for inflation, and future annual appropriations remained the share of GDP that they are this year, the deficit in 2020 would equal about 8 percent of GDP, and debt held by the public would total nearly 100 percent of GDP. A different fiscal policy would also yield different economic outcomes. For example, CBO estimates that under an alternative fiscal path similar to the one just mentioned, growth of real GDP in 2011 would be 0.6 to 1.7 percentage points higher than it is in the baseline forecast, and the unemployment rate at the end of 2011 would be 0.3 to 0.8 percentage points lower. However, later in the coming decade, real GDP would fall below the level in CBO's baseline because the larger budget deficits would reduce investment in productive capital.
Beyond the 10-year budget window, the nation will face daunting long-term fiscal challenges posed by the aging of the population and rising costs for health care. Continued large deficits and the resulting increases in federal debt over time would reduce long-term economic growth. Putting the nation on a sustainable fiscal course will require policymakers to restrain the growth of spending substantially, raise revenues significantly above their average percentage of GDP of the past 40 years, or adopt some combination of those approaches.
Fiscal year 2010 will mark a change in the recent trends that have prevailed for both revenues and outlays. After falling sharply during the recession, revenues are projected to increase (in nominal dollars) for the first time in three years, rising by $38 billion, or about 2 percent. Outlays, which have grown rapidly in recent years because of the recession, the turmoil in financial markets, and policies enacted in response to those events, are expected to decline by about 1 percent.
On the basis of tax collections through July 2010, CBO expects federal revenues to total $2.1 trillion this fiscal year, or about 14.6 percent of GDP. Gains in receipts in recent months indicate that federal revenues are beginning to recover from the recession. In the period from October to December 2009, revenues were about 10 percent lower than in the same quarter a year earlier. But from January to July 2010, revenues were about 6 percent greater than in the comparable period of 2009.
Outlays are expected to total $3.5 trillion this year, or nearly 24 percent of GDP—a level slightly lower than the 25 percent share recorded last year but still much higher than the average level of roughly 21 percent of GDP over the past 40 years. Spending has dropped sharply this year for certain programs related to the federal government's response to the turmoil in the housing and financial markets. For activities other than those programs, overall spending will rise by 10 percent in 2010, CBO estimates.
Over the next few years, federal budget deficits would decline markedly as a share of GDP if the current-law assumptions about fiscal policy in CBO's baseline came to pass. Under those assumptions, the deficit would drop to 7.0 percent of GDP in 2011 and 4.2 percent in 2012 and then would reach a low of 2.5 percent of GDP in 2014. For the rest of the 10-year projection period, deficits would range between 2.6 percent and 3.0 percent of GDP, close to the average of 2.6 percent of GDP experienced over the past 40 years.
In CBO's baseline, total revenues climb sharply in the next few years, from 14.6 percent of GDP in 2010 to 17.5 percent in 2011 and 18.7 percent in 2012. That increase is attributable in part to the scheduled expiration of tax provisions originally enacted in 2001, 2003, and 2009 (including temporary relief from the AMT, which expired at the end of December 2009) and in part to the anticipated economic recovery. Revenues will also be boosted by provisions of the recently enacted health care legislation (the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act, as amended by the Health Care and Education Reconciliation Act of 2010), which are estimated to increase receipts by growing amounts over the next few years, reaching 0.6 percent of GDP by 2020. In addition, the structure of the individual income tax will gradually raise receipts over time. Together, all of those factors push federal revenues in CBO's baseline to 21.0 percent of GDP by 2020, compared with an average level of about 18 percent of GDP over the past 40 years.
In 2011, federal outlays in CBO's baseline total $3.7 trillion (24.5 percent of GDP), almost $230 billion more than the amount anticipated for this year. Much of that increase stems from temporary factors that have held down outlays this year. Net outlays in 2010 for the Troubled Asset Relief Program were reduced by an adjustment to the outlays recorded for the previous year, and premiums paid by banks for deposit insurance were unusually high this year; neither factor is expected to recur next year. Furthermore, because October 1, 2011, falls on a weekend, some benefit payments will shift from fiscal year 2012 into 2011. In the other direction, outlays related to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are projected to decline significantly in 2011. With all of those factors excluded, total outlays would be only about $80 billion more than the projection for this year.
As spending from the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 tails off and as the anticipated economic recovery allows payments for unemployment compensation and other benefits that automatically rise during recessions to continue returning toward more typical levels, outlays are projected to decline to 23.0 percent of GDP in 2012 and then to fall a bit further before rising eventually to 23.9 percent by 2020. Relative to GDP, mandatory spending is projected to rise (outlays for Medicare, Medicaid, and Social Security contribute significantly to that increase), and discretionary outlays are projected to fall. From 2012 through 2020, outlays in CBO's baseline average 23.2 percent of GDP—2.5 percentage points higher than the average over the past 40 years.
The federal government's spending on interest is determined largely by the stock of debt and prevailing interest rates. The amount of federal debt held by the public has skyrocketed in the past two years: from 40 percent of GDP at the end of 2008 to nearly 62 percent at the end of this year, CBO estimates. Interest rates, however, have fallen to historically low levels, so despite the higher levels of debt, interest costs have not yet increased significantly.
Interest rates are expected to rise noticeably in the next few years, though, and under the assumptions of CBO's baseline, debt held by the public is projected to exceed 69 percent of GDP by the end of 2020. As a result, over the next decade, the government's annual net spending for interest is projected to more than double as a share of GDP, increasing from 1.5 percent in 2011 to 3.4 percent by 2020. Over the 10-year projection period, such spending grows at an average rate of 15 percent a year.
The pace of growth after the recent recession is likely to be slower than usual as the economy recovers from the effects of the financial crisis and as the support to economic activity provided by fiscal policy diminishes. In the past, many recoveries from deep recessions have been quite robust. After deferring purchases during a slump (especially for expensive goods like homes, automobiles, and capital equipment), households and businesses typically boost their spending quickly as economic prospects improve. However, international experience suggests that recoveries from recessions that were spurred by financial crises tend to be slower than average—perhaps because the losses in wealth and damage to the financial system that occur during such crises weigh on spending for a number of years. Following such a crisis, it takes time for consumers to rebuild their wealth, for financial institutions to restore their capital bases, and for nonfinancial firms to regain the confidence required to invest in new plant and equipment; all of those forces tend to restrain spending. In addition, under current law, both the waning of fiscal stimulus and the scheduled increases in taxes will temporarily subtract from growth, especially in 2011.
In CBO's projections, real GDP increases by 2.8 percent between the fourth quarter of calendar year 2009 and the fourth quarter of 2010 and by 2.0 percent in 2011. Such rates of growth are well below historical norms for a recovery from a severe recession; for example, following the deep recession of 1981 and 1982, real GDP surged by nearly 8 percent in 1983 and by roughly 6 percent in 1984. In CBO's forecast, the growth of real GDP picks up after 2011, averaging 4.1 percent annually from 2012 through 2014 and closing the gap between GDP and its potential level (the amount of production that corresponds to a high use of labor and capital) by the end of 2014.
The modest growth in output projected for the next few years points to sluggish growth in employment during the remainder of this year and next. Consequently, CBO projects that the unemployment rate will decline slowly, falling to 9.3 percent at the end of 2010 and 8.8 percent at the end of 2011. After that, the growth in employment will accelerate, and the unemployment rate will decline more rapidly, reaching 5.1 percent at the end of 2014.
Inflation in the prices of consumer goods and services (calculated using the price index for personal consumption expenditures, or PCE) is projected to be about 1 percent in 2010 and 2011, when measured on a fourth-quarter-to-fourth-quarter basis. Core inflation, which excludes the prices of food and energy, is also projected to be about 1 percent this year and next. CBO projects that inflation will pick up moderately thereafter but remain below 2.0 percent from 2012 through 2014.
Interest rates in CBO's projections remain very low through the end of 2011 and then rise gradually as the recovery continues. The Federal Reserve is unlikely to raise its target for the federal funds rate (the interest rate at which depository institutions lend reserves to each other overnight) from its near-zero level while the recovery remains subdued and inflation stays low. As a result, the interest rate on 3-month Treasury bills will average 0.2 percent in 2010 and 2011, CBO projects. However, given CBO's outlook that the economy will strengthen and inflation will increase somewhat between 2012 and 2014, the projected 3-month Treasury bill rate averages 2.8 percent in those years. In the projections, the interest rate on 10-year Treasury notes, which is influenced by investors' expectations about monetary policy and other factors, edges up from an average of 3.4 percent in 2010 to 3.5 percent in 2011 and then rises to an average of 4.7 percent over the 2012–2014 period.
Beyond 2014, CBO projects, growth in real GDP will match the growth of potential GDP at 2.4 percent. In the agency's projections, the unemployment rate averages 5.0 percent from 2015 through 2020, and inflation (as measured by the PCE price index) averages 2.0 percent. During that period, the interest rates on 3-month Treasury bills and 10-year Treasury notes average 4.9 percent and 5.9 percent, respectively.
Economic forecasts are always subject to considerable uncertainty. The uncertainty regarding CBO's current forecast is especially large, both because forecasting the path of the economy near turning points in the business cycle is always difficult and because the current business cycle has been unusual in a variety of ways. Many developments could lead to outcomes that differ substantially, in one direction or the other, from those CBO has projected.
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